As one of Singapore’s premier SAP schools, Nan Hua Primary attracts strong demand from parents seeking quality Chinese education. Our analysis of 2022-2024 admission data reveals key insights for your 2026 Primary 1 application strategy.
Understanding Priority Groups
| Code | Definition |
|---|---|
| SC<1 | Singapore Citizens living <1km |
| SC1-2 | Singapore Citizens living 1-2km |
| SC>2 | Singapore Citizens living >2km |
| PR<1 | Permanent Residents living <1km |
| PR1-2 | Permanent Residents living 1-2km |
| PR>2 | Permanent Residents living >2km |
| # | Special cases (context-dependent) |
Admission Odds (2022–2024 Data)
Applicant-to-Vacancy Ratios
How competitive is your phase?
- Example: 100 applicants for 50 spots → 100 ÷ 50 = 2.0:1 (balloting likely).
- Low ratio (e.g., 0.5:1): No balloting (fewer applicants than spots).
| Phase | 2022 Ratio | 2023 Ratio | 2024 Ratio | Balloting History |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | 0.58:1 | 0.64:1 | 0.60:1 | Never balloted |
| 2A(1) | 1.44:1 | 1.48:1 | 1.40:1 | SC<2# (2022), SC1-2 (2023), SC>2 (2024) |
| 2B | 1.90:1 | 1.70:1 | 1.95:1 | SC<1 (all years) |
| 2C | 4.78:1 | 4.80:1 | 4.00:1 | SC<1 (all years) |
| Phase 3 | 0:1 | 0:1 | 0:1 | No vacancies since 2022 |
Key Findings
Highly Competitive 2C Phase
- Consistently high ratios (4.00-4.80:1)
- SC<1 balloted every year
- Slight improvement in 2024
Variable 2A(1) Trends
- Different priority groups balloted each year
- Ratios remain stable (~1.40-1.48:1)
- Unpredictable balloting patterns
Stable 2B Phase
- Consistent competitiveness (~1.90:1)
- Only SC<1 applicants considered
Strategic Recommendations
For SC<1 Families
- ✅ Phase 1: Safest option (0.60:1)
- ⚠️ 2B: Moderately competitive (1.95:1)
- ⚠️ 2C: Extremely competitive (have backups)
For SC1-2/SC>2 Families
- ⚠️ 2A(1): Balloting history varies yearly
- ❌ 2B/2C: Not available
For PR Families
- ❌ No available pathways
2025 Predictions
- Phase 1 will remain the safest option
- 2A(1) may continue varying balloting groups
- 2B will likely maintain current competitiveness
- 2C ratios may stabilize around 4:1
- Phase 3 will remain closed
Critical Insight: Nan Hua’s 2C phase remains 4-5 applicants per vacancy, making it one of Singapore’s most competitive public phases.
Final Advice:
- Alumni should prioritize Phase 1 applications
- SC<1 families should consider volunteering for 2B advantage
- Have strong backup options ready for 2C applications
- Monitor MOE announcements for 2025 balloting changes
With careful planning, you can maximize your chances at this prestigious SAP school!