Keming Balloting History: Your 2025 Chances & Strategies

Planning to enroll your child in Keming Primary for 2026? Our analysis of 2022-2024 admission data reveals crucial trends to help you secure a spot at this popular neighborhood school.

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Admission Odds (2022-2024 Data)

Key Applicant-to-Vacancy Ratios

This crucial metric reveals admission competitiveness:

• If 20 people apply for 10 spots, the ratio is:
  👉 20 ÷ 10 = 2.0 → That’s 2:1, meaning 2 applicants fighting for each spot.
• If 15 applicants apply for 20 spots, the ratio is:
  👉 15 ÷ 20 = 0.75 → That’s 0.75:1, meaning less than 1 applicant per spot — no balloting needed!

Phase	2022 Ratio	2023 Ratio	2024 Ratio	Balloting History
Phase 1	0.63:1	0.56:1	0.58:1	Never balloted
2A(1)	0.82:1	0.64:1	0.53:1	Never balloted
2B	0.79:1	0.27:1	0.44:1	No balloting (all years)
2C	2.28:1	1.68:1	1.74:1	SC<1km (all years)

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Strategic Application Guide

1. By Priority Group

SC <1km:

• ✅ All Phases: Guaranteed in Phase 1, 2A(1), 2B
• ⚠️ 2C: Competitive (1.68-2.28:1)

SC 1-2km:

• ✅ Phase 1/2A(1): Safe options
• ❌ 2B/2C: No historical vacancies

SC >2km:

• ✅ Phase 1/2A(1): Safe
• ❌ Other phases: No access

PR Applicants:

• ❌ No vacancies since 2022

2. Winning Tactics

1. Phase Priority:
   • Phase 1 → 2A(1) → 2B (all safe for <1km)
   • 2C as last resort
2. Hidden Gem:
   • 2B phase has excellent odds (ratios 0.27-0.79:1)
3. Distance Strategy:
   • <1km residents enjoy all-phase access
4. Backup Plan:
   • Only needed for 2C applicants

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2025 Predictions

• Phase 1/2A(1)/2B: Will remain non-balloted
• 2C: Likely to maintain 1.7-2.3:1 ratios
• Potential Change: Increased 2B applications as parents discover this advantage

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Key Admission Factors

1. Citizenship Priority:
   • SC only (no PR vacancies)
2. Distance Rules:
   • <1km → 1-2km → >2km

*Note: Keming’s 2B phase is remarkably underutilized, with ratios as low as 0.27:1 in 2023 – a hidden opportunity for <1km residents.*

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Pro Tip: If living within 1km, apply in 2B phase first before considering 2C for significantly better odds at Keming Primary!

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What Makes Keming Unique:

1. Exceptionally Low 2B Ratios: Much better than comparable schools
2. Stable 2A(1) Performance: Consistently below 1.0 ratio
3. 2C Consistency: Maintains steady competition levels
4. All-Phase Access: Rare for <1km residents at popular schools