Thinking of applying to Methodist Girls’ School (MGS) for the 2026 Primary 1 intake?
As a 2025 applicant, it’s crucial to study the trends from the past few years to understand your chances and prepare your strategy. MGS is a highly sought-after girls’ school, and balloting risks vary significantly by distance and citizenship status.
This guide breaks down the latest admission ratios, explains balloting patterns from 2022 to 2024, and offers practical tips to help you increase your chances based on where you live and your phase of entry.
Admission Odds (2022-2024 Data)
Applicant-to-Vacancy Ratios
This crucial metric reveals admission competitiveness:
- If 20 people apply for 10 spots, the ratio is:
👉 20 ÷ 10 = 2.0 → That’s 2:1, meaning 2 applicants fighting for each spot. - If 15 applicants apply for 20 spots, the ratio is:
👉 15 ÷ 20 = 0.75 → That’s 0.75:1, meaning less than 1 applicant per spot — no balloting needed!
| Phase | 2022 Ratio | 2023 Ratio | 2024 Ratio | Balloting History |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1 | 0.54:1 | 0.43:1 | 0.39:1 | Never balloted |
| 2A(1) | 1.29:1 | 0.97:1 | 0.85:1 | SC>2km (2022 only) |
| 2B | 3.95:1 | 1.81:1 | 2.00:1 | Always SC<1km |
| 2C | 1.75:1 | 1.47:1 | 1.28:1 | SC<1km (2022-23), SC>2km (2024) |
Your Winning Strategy
1. By Priority Group
- SC <1km:
✅ Phase 1/2A(1) = Guaranteed
⚠️ 2B = 50% chance | 2C = 75% chance - SC 1-2km:
✅ 2A(1) = Guaranteed
❌ 2B/2C = Low chance - SC >2km:
✅ 2A(1) = Guaranteed
🎲 2C = New balloting risk - PR Applicants:
❌ No vacancies since 2022
2. Pro Tips
- Distance Hack: Relocate within 1km before registration
- Phase Priority: Always try Phase 1 → 2A(1) → 2B → 2C
- Backup Plan: Required for 2B/2C applicants
2025 Prediction
- Phase 1/2A(1) remain safest
- 2B will stay competitive (prepare for balloting)
- 2C may continue SC>2km balloting
Key Terminology Explained
Priority Groups
MGS categorizes applicants based on:
Citizenship Status:
- Singapore Citizens (SC)
- Permanent Residents (PR)
Distance from School:
- <1km (highest priority)
- 1-2km
- 2km (lowest priority)
*Note: Our analysis begins from 2022 because this year marked a pivotal change in primary school’s admission framework, particularly with the significant expansion of Phase 2C vacancies from 20 to 40 spots – a 100% increase that reshaped admission patterns.*